Posts Tagged the digital sea

The Benefits of Dogged Persistance

I finished reading the book Outliers by Malcolm Gladwell today.  One theme from the book was the idea that 10,000 hours of meaningful work within a skill set will make you an expert.  A brief example from the book is a comparison of three groups of violinists at Berlin’s elite Academy of Music.  The first group are judged as having world-class potential as a violinist.  The second group was judged as merely “good.” While the third group aspired to be high school music teachers. 

The difference in their ability was correlated to the amount of time they practiced.  All of them started around the age of five, but the world-class players practiced for long hours and had achieved the magical 10,000 hours by the time they reached the academy.  The second group had totaled eight-thousand hours and the last group only four-thousand. 

This should come as no surprise to anyone that hard work pays off.  The book goes on to give examples of how people like Mozart, Bill Gates and the Beatles all benefited from their 10,000 hours. 

The surprise to me was that, well, I was surprised.  This wasn’t the first time I’d heard this axiom.  Growing up I played soccer and attended Pat McBride’s soccer camp in St. Louis.  Pat played for the Olympic team and is in the National Soccer Hall of Fame.  He’s a legend around these parts.  One of the things he said was that to be a great soccer player, you must touch the ball a million times

While I never aspired to be a professional soccer player, I always took that lesson to heart for soccer.  It’s not until I’ve become a bit older and wiser (and having read Malcolm’s book) that I realize that is true for any skill. 

Thinking back to two of my favorite writers, Steven King and George R.R. Martin, I realize that both of them recounted the many rejections they received at a young age in their books on writing.  They were working on their 10,000 hours at ages long before I’d even thought about putting pen to paper on a regular basis.

This also holds true to Heinlein’s Rules, which is a guidepost for new writers (and old ones still trying to learn the craft.)

1. You must write.
2. You must finish what you write.
3. You must refrain from rewriting, except to editorial order.
4. You must put the work on the market.
5. You must keep the work on the market until it is sold.

And if you need another example, then read these posts from Dean Wesley Smith about Killing the Sacred Cows of Publishing.  Read not only the posts, but the comments.  Reading all of them has been like jacking into the Matrix and downloading thirty-years of experience in a few hours. 

While I haven’t yet reached the mythical 10,000 hours, I’m working diligently on that task.  This year my goal is 200,000 words (not including my blog posts for here and Games Alfresco.)  That seems like a lot, but I hit 140,000 words last year (one novel, 4 short stories.) and made around 220 blog posts.  Professional full-time writers probably put in about 500,000 words a year. 

In the end, I’ll only get better if I have the courage to keep writing, sending out stories and novels, and waving at the rejections as signposts on my way to success.

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Real-Time 3D Modeling for Augmented Reality

I’m a big geek when it comes to the behind-the-scenes number crunching stuff that makes augmented reality happen. How it all works is a fascinating look at dynamic systems in concert. The two videos below show how on the fly modeling of objects can help create a fully interactive world with occlusion, shadows and other 3D illusions needed to created reality out of pixels.

The first comes from the Australian Center for Visual Technologies with a program called Jiim.  It allows in-situ modeling of the enviroment by picking up points and then allowing the user, in real-time, to draw in the world with those points as reference.   The resulting physics demonstration is quite impressive from throwing balls to killing moles.

The second video shows use of the MRToolKit to model a Chinese dragon figure in real-time and then interact with it.  The results aren’t as impressive as the Jimm ACVT video, but still, it’s nice to have options.

Having played around with a few AR systems like Metaio’s Unifeye, I can say that the programs in these videos look easier to interact with than what I’ve used before.  Instead of programming numbers and coordinate systems, the user can mouse click the world into existence.  Imagine if groups of people collectively worked on drawing in a city to create a general playground for augmented reality.  Just add some sweet HMDs and a SDK to create games and AR would be unleashed.

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Vuzix Wrap 920AR Video Eyewear at CES 2010

The Vuzix Wrap 920AR aren’t the sexiest of specs, but they do perform the function of AR glasses.  I got a chance to see this setup at ISMAR09 which they’re now showing at CES 2010. 

The specs for the glasses look like:

The stereo camera pair delivers a single 1504 x 480 side-by-side image that can be viewed in 3D stereoscopic video, while the video eyewear provides an unprecedented 67-inch display as seen from 10 feet. The Wrap 920AR also includes a 6 Degree-of-Freedom Tracker, which allows for absolute accuracy of roll pitch and yaw and also X, Y and Z positioning in 3D space

Vuzix Wrap 920AR Specifications:

• 1/3-inch wide VGA Digital Image Sensor
• Resolution: 752H x 480W
• Includes 6 Degree-of-Freedom Tracker
• Frame rate: 60 fps
• Dynamic range: >55dB linear; >80-100dB in HiDy mode
• Shutter efficiency: >99%
• ADC Resolution: 10-bit column parallel
• High-speed USB 2.0
• PC and Mac compatible
• System requirements: Windows XP SP2, Windows Vista, Windows7, Mac OS X 10.4.9 or higher
• MSRP: $799.99

 

They probably won’t be worn in public anytime soon, but some creative programmers could create interesting house-only interactive avatars or AR spaces.  While some might scoff at this idea, see this video from Georgia Tech last year to see how even semi-cheesy graphics can make augmented reality immersive.  Having played the old VR game Dactyl Nightmare in the 1990s, the head-tracking really creates the illusion of reality. 

We haven’t seen any developers put together a product that takes advantage of these $800 glasses, but hopes are that exposure at CES 2010 will bring more interest. The only thing I’ve seen using the setup is the Whisper Deck from Craig Kapp.  Maybe later this year we might see some products that would entice the hard core AR enthusiast to fork out the cash for these un-sexy specs. 

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What I Want For Augmented Reality in 2010

I was going to expand on my predictions that Rouli had posted on Games Alfresco because, frankly, they were pretty lame (mine and not the other nine, those were good.)  But decided that there have been enough predictions for 2010.  So instead, I want to go over the things I want to happen in 2010 in regards to augmented reality.   

1. I want the Nexus One phone from Google to be untethered, cheap and make AR apps fun.

2. I want to be surprised by an AR ready HMD.

3. I want to see fun, creative AR games that are across all platforms and come at an affordable price. 

4. I want the AR inspection assist project I’m working on with Metaio to go flawlessly and for it to revolutionize the way we do difficult inspection job at Toyota and make it easier on our team members. 

5. I want Google Goggles to be a database that other programs can use for pattern recognition and markerless tracking.

6. I want to attend ISMAR10 even though its all the way over in South Korea.

7. I want the ISMAR09 presentations to be put up on YouTube so we can see all the great things that happened.

8. I want Apple to free their live video API for better AR on the iPhone.

9. I want to know what Neogence Enterprises has been working on all these years. 

10. I want to continue to make Games Alfresco the hands-down, defacto source for all your augmented reality news. 

So for all you programmers and entrepreneurs working on the latest in augmented reality tech, even though I may put up your YouTube video or link to your webpage and make semi-snarky comments about its usefulness or how its so-2009, I certainly appreciate your hard work.  Unless you were just mailing it in hoping to capitalize on the AR buzz, then you deserve it and then some.  For all of you in the former category, I leave you with my two favorite quotes to keep you going when things get tough:

All courses of action are risky, so prudence is no in avoiding danger (it’s impossible), but calculating risk and acting decisively.  Make mistakes of ambition and not mistakes of sloth.  Develop the strength to do bold things, not the strength to suffer. 

   — Niccolo Machiavelli, The Prince

IT IS NOT THE CRITIC WHO COUNTS: not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better.  The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again…who spends himself in a worthy cause; who, at the best, knows, in the end, the triumph of high achievement, and who at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly. 

   — Teddy Roosevelt

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Augmented Reality Year in Review – 2009

The year 2009 has been an important milestone in the development of augmented reality as an important future technology.  While markers and marketing campaigns captured the early interest of the year, the bigger story was the porting of augmented reality to the various smartphones in the second half. 

But those two generalities aren’t the only thing that happened in 2009 in regards to augmented reality.  I’m going to take a look back at the year, month-by-month, to remember how the year unfolded, so we better understand the direction of the future. 

January

Back at the dawn of 2009, all the augmented reality news you needed to know was in one place – Games Alfresco.  Hope was high and all the pieces seemed to be clicking into place. 

Biggest News of the MonthMetaio releases its Lego AR boxes

   * By a long shot, Metaio’s release of the augmented reality Lego box was the biggest news of the month.  When you can get Angela Merkel and the Govenator to pose with your product, you’re doing well.

Coolest App/VideoiPhone App Helps Solve Rubix Cube

   * This app portents of things to come in the future as products like Google Goggles amp up the possibilities of reality-search.  Using specific algorithms (agents) for specific tasks, there will be an app for everything you want to do in the future.

Best Article / InterviewUgoTrade Interview with Robert Rice

   * Though Robert hasn’t delivered on his promise of a Neogence product by mid-year (though the Apple video API has stymied their progress), the rest of the interview is full of great quotes and nuggets about augmented reality.

   * Notable quotes from Robert that show how much he understands the industry:

But yes, I’d say that the next 18 months are going to be very interesting with a lot of money being thrown around, new ventures, and plenty of content/applications. I expect most of this will be centered on single user AR experienced through a mobile device with a screen (iPhone, android, etc.). I expect that there will be a significant boost after Vuzix releases some of their wearable *transparent* displays, putting Microvision back into the “has potential but is too quiet” position.

Remember, one of the biggest risks that AR has, is being branded as “novelty”, which means “cool for five minutes but ultimately a waste of time.” I think we have a ways to go before something is truly useful, but as 2009 progresses we should start seeing some effort here. I’d guess 2010 before something really useful comes out…at least something practical.

Now, having said that, I should say that I expect entertainment and games to take the lead (as usual), although there are a few companies really trying to leverage AR and video/graphics compositing for marketing (brochures) and location based methods (kiosks, large screen projections, etc.)

Other notable things that happened in JanuaryThe Augmented Times is born and Rouli Nir begins a great year of chronicling the happenings of AR. 

An auspicious quote from Rouli:

This blog is about Augmented Reality (AR). It is my firm belief that AR will be the next web revolution (the so called Web 3.0, and forget about that semantic web nonsense). In the next few years, stronger devices and better algorithms will enable us to merge the real world with cyberspace. Using your mobile phone (at first) or head up display (later on) every real object will be augmented and achieve a web presence. Tourism, shopping, advertisement, entertainment and education are only a few areas that will never be the same.

This blog mission is to document this revolution as it happens. We welcome you, and welcome our augmented future.

February

This month is relatively quiet due to it being handicapped by fewer days than the other months. 

Biggest News of the MonthAugmented Reality in Flash Now Commercially Available.

   *  Making the nuts-and-bolts tools of AR available for commercial use is always a good thing, especially when its paired with flash. 

Coolest App / Video“Sixth Sense” MIT Device.

   * Patty Maes unleashed this phenomenon on the web early last year and it still gets links and mentions today.  While projection based AR is probably not medium that we’ll all eventually use, the video showed tangible use-cases that help the non-initiated understand the embryonic technology.

Best Article / Interview – This comic from the Abstruse Goose sums up a lot about the future of ubiquitous computing (via Augmented Blog.)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other notable things that happened in February- I started the Future Digital Life blog, which upon reading my early posts, makes me cringe a little.  Oh well, nothing ventured, nothing gained.  Also, Rouli starts the Weekly Linkfest, the best place to find the round up of AR news each week.

March

In like a lion, out like a lamb.  Augmented reality starts to get rolling in March with lots of goodies and promises.

Biggest News of the MonthMetaio and Vuzix Team Up to Create AR Goggles.

   * While the year has been mostly disappointing regarding HMDs, this was the one tangible piece of progress in the bunch.  The video Ori captured at the GDC portends to greater things.  While no companies have released products for the Vuzix+ARCam, we’ve recently seen an impressive project from Craig Kapp with his Whisper Deck

Coolest App / VideoBlair MacIntryre’s GA Tech team – Zombie Attack and Pit Strategy.

   * The videos showed what polished AR games can look like. 

Best Article / Interview – I’m going for a two-fer on this one because its hard to choose between Ori’s talk at WARM09 and Robert’s Decade of Ubiquity post

   * If you haven’t watched Ori’s talk, I highly recommend it.  Even though I’d seen the video, I made a point of hearing him live at ISMAR09 because I think its such a well thought-out call for human-based technology.  Robert’s vision is a bit more expansive and covers the whole of augmented reality.  I’ll leave you with another Robert quote:

We will break away from the desk, we will throw away our monitors, and our children will laugh at how large our IPhones are. They will struggle with how we ever managed to get work done with “windows” “webpages” and keyboards. They will be unable to fathom the concept of vinyl disks, typewriters, and landlines. But it all starts, and accelerates, during this next decade. Imagine everything that happened in the last decade, and multiply it. You haven’t seen anything yet. The next decade will make the last one pale in comparison.

Other notable things that happened in MarchTopps released augmented baseball cards and ISMAR09 begins calling for papers

April

Biggest News of the Month- Rouli and Ori team up on Games Alfresco to create the AR hub for all AR related news.   

   * The move allowed Ori to focus more on his company and gave Rouli the helm on the daily AR newscasting.  Looking back at the great job that GA has done, I’d say it was a good move.

Coolest App / VideoMarco Tempest’s AR card trick video.

   * The video hit the web in April and showed us how AR can change our perception of reality. 

Best Article / InterviewTim O’Reilly talks Web 2.0

   * Augmented Times identified the best quote from the video:

RFID is an evolutionary dead-end … semantic web or RFID is things “wearing name-tags”, and web 2.0 is learning to recognize things … We’re getting to that kind of augmented reality, where our computers will have senses that are as good as ours or better … they are going to recognize faces, they are going to recognize objects, they gonna have immediate recall. If you ask me “what’s the UI in five years”, it’s a pair of glasses … I’m gonna have some kind of little heads up display because I’m gonna look at something, I’m gonna walk around at a meeting and it will go “that’s Joe, you met him three years ago”.

Other notable things that happened in AprilGeorgia Tech fear of heights video (another peak into the future of augmented reality as a perception changer), Rouli’s call for marketers to stop using AR to sell cars, Lester at the Augmented Planet gets his blog started, Nokia point and find is out and a couple of articles about brain-computer interfaces: Honda controls robot and the brain-twitter breakthrough

May

Biggest News of the MonthMetaio releases Unifeye design demo.

Coolest App / VideoUseful AR from the US Postal Service.

   * Using FLARToolkit, the US postal service shows us that not all AR applications have to be novelity ones. 

Best Article / InterviewTish interviews Ori Inbar about mobile augmented reality

Ori: Just like with every emerging technology in history, people never bought the technology, they bought the content, the apps, the benefits that came on top of the technology. Whether it was VHS winning over Beta Max, or BluRay winning over HD. It’s always because of more/better content. Look at the video game console war: Xbox, and Nintendo did better than Sony just because they had more and better games. Even Windows was a success thanks to its applications. People bought it for the applications not the OS. The content is the first to drive demand.

Other notable things that happened in May – My post about the Path to Augmented Vision, Programmer Joe talks AR at LOGIN, and 11 Industries to be Reinvented with Augmented Reality

June

Biggest News of the MonthLayar is online

   * The biggest news of the month by far.  Layar was the first big product release that got a buzz bump. 

Coolest App / VideoZugara Social Shopper.

   * The video showcased the use of motion capture to help eliminate the burdensome need for keyboards and mouses when you’re using augmented reality.  Zugara later put the technique into practice for their Cannonballz and Fashionista products.

Best Article / InterviewUgoTrade Interview with Blair MacIntyre

   * No surprise here.  Tish Shute continues to get great interviews with everyone important in the AR field. 

The problem with the mobile phone as a AR device is that problem of awareness. If I have a head mount on and I walk down the street and there is bunch of probably-not-useful-but-potentially-useful information floating by me, that’s a good thing, because I may see something that is useful or makes me think of something else.  But if I have to hold up my phone to see if something might be interesting nearby, I will never hold up my phone because at the time there is a high probability that there won’t be anything particularly important there.  You might imagine you can get around this by using alerts or something like that, but then you overload whatever alert channel you use.

Other notable things that happened in June- Ori asks us all about our favorite AR games of all time, Noah breaks onto the scene with his Touchless Glove Interface, and Goggle presents their paper on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (which later becomes Goggles). 

July

Biggest News of the MonthThe AR Consortium Announced

   * While its still unknown if the consortium has accomplished anything through cooperation, the intention of cooperation is a start.  Here’s to hoping we’ll see more fruit from this vine in 2010.

Coolest App / VideoAcrossAir Tube Finder.

   * At the time it was released we weren’t sure if it was a real product, but eventually we learned the truth and for a time, AcrossAir became the top selling AR app on the iPhone appstore. 

Best Article / InterviewUgoTrade Interview with Ori Inbar “Reality Reinvented

Ori:You are so right. It’s multiple elements in the industry that have to come together. You have the technology companies like Imagination and Metaio, then you have content companies like what we’re trying to do; the hardware vendors and the large content providers. Those brands that we’re trying to go after and educate them about the potential of AR. All these pieces need to come together for this market to ignite.

Other notable things that happened in JulyJames Alliban’s business card goes viral and AR Avatar toys are released at Comic Con.

August

Biggest News of the MonthYelp Introduces AR Monocle via Easter Egg

Coolest App / VideoBruce Sterling’s Layar Keynote – At the Dawn of the AR Industry

   * Bruce released an AR-infused novel Catyadids in 2009, so it was only natural that Layar asked him to speak about the fledgling industry.  The speech is memorable with too many great lines to pick from for quoting here. 

Best Article / InterviewThomas Wrobel’s Proposal for an Open AR Network

   * Easily Tish’s best interview because it turned into more than a reflection of past events or hopes for the future.  Tish and Thomas have since rallied AR professionals and amateurs to join the AR Wave collaborative effort.  They seek to use Wave as the platform for an open AR network and have recently been testing code. 

Other notable things that happened in AugustAR Strippers!

September

Biggest News of the MonthVuzix 920Wrap Will Not be See-Through

   * The biggest disappointment of the year was the news from Vuzix.  Good see-through AR glasses are supposed to release us from the tyranny of the “magic lens”.  Hoping 2010 brings better news, but I’m really waiting until 2011. 

Coolest App / VideoAugmenting Aerial Maps with Dynamic Information

Best Article / InterviewGene Becker’s Design Strategies for Magic Lens.

Other notable things that happened in SeptemberNo more Gamaray - Death of a Browser, Int13 and Total Immersion getting into bed, and the augmented reality reading list.

October

Biggest News of the MonthNews from ISMAR09, News from ISMAR09 #2 and UgoTrade ISMAR09 Coverage.

   * I was lucky enough to attend and speak at ISMAR09.   The energy of the participants was exceptional and I came away from it more jazzed about AR than I was going in.  Hopefully the ISMAR committee will be releasing the videos from the event soon. 

Coolest App / Video2D sketches become 3D reality

Best Article / InterviewISMAR09 HMD Review

   * I think I summed up the current state of HMDs for AR pretty well.  I’m hoping 2010 brings a suprise for AR HMDs.

Other notable things that happened in OctoberAR Wave discussion on UgoTrade, Wikitude for the iPhone first look and Giant Hand Torments City

November

Biggest News of the MonthJunaio hits the app store

Coolest App / VideoInteractive Entertainment Using AR

   * The videos about the Disney experiences were similar to what Mark Mine showed us at ISMAR.  They really show us how technology can transcend our perceptions of reality.

Best Article / Interview –  Augmented Planet’s Head-to-head browser test (and part 2)

   * Lester broke down the various browsers in this excellent hands-on challenge.  Read both parts to find out the winner.

Other notable things that happened in NovemberBusiness Week’s Article about: Getting Beyond the Hype and Robert Rice’s reply

December

Biggest News of the MonthGoggle Googles is released.

   * The giant has awoken.  Goggles has many implications for Googles ideas on the AR market.  This won’t be the last time we’ll hear from them about this technology.

Coolest App / VideoLayer 3.0

   * While Layar has since pulled the app from the app store and had to issue and apology, the version 3.0 still holds lots of promise

Best Article / InterviewAugmented Reality in 2010: Predictions (10 part series)

   * A wide swath of the AR blogosphere had the opportunity to participate in the predictions series from Games Alfresco run by Rouli Nir.  More interesting, snarky, and possibly-true predictions that you can shake an augmented stick at.

Other notable things that happened in DecemberAR Wave FAQ on UgoTrade, Enkin acquired by Google, ARDevCamp, Wikitude Teams Up with Lonely Planet, 10 Worse Uses of AR in 2009, and Nexus One News and Implications of AR

What It All Means

Whew.  After reviewing hundreds of articles and videos, I’m sure I’ve missed a number of important happenings from the year 2009.  If I have, please make sure to comment and I’ll add it if I have overlooked it. 

What does it all mean?  That is entirely up to you.  The year has brought many advances to augmented reality and the ceiling is sky-high for 2010.  There will be surprises, excuses, apologies, releases, re-releases and more.  Money will be pumped in, not all where it should go, and progress will be made.  We’ll laugh at the videos, smile at our favorite products and complain when it does work as expected.  Either way, it will be a year more interesting than the last and I’ll be here to watch it all unfold.

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Trippy iPod Nano Augmented Reality Hack

In the future people won’t take drugs, they’ll augment their vision with a perception enabler. 

“Woah! I took my chrominance to the max!”

“When I got to the party, it was like my inverse telecine had doubled the shaders!”

“I think my reality has gone all lossy on me—”

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More Augmented Reality Magic with Marco Tempest

Marco Tempest blew our collective augmented reality mind-space with his card trick video last spring.  This time he pulls back the curtain and shows a little bit of the technology behind his projection AR magic tricks on the streets of Japan.

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Facial Recognition is the Future of Social Search

Nokia’s concept video shows what they think mobile computing will be in 2015.  The list rounds out the usual suspects of future-tech: cloud computing, geolocative services, service-anywhere and facial recognition, to name a few.  The last one tweaks my concerns about data harvesting and social stalking as presented the last two days (Thoughts on the OGI and Surveillance Society).  Seems like this is privacy week at the Future Digital Life. 

Nokia isn’t the only one delving into this aspect of computer vision as Qualcomm gave a sneak peak into their future products and facial recongition tied to social networking is one of them.  Ben Sillis from Electricpig reports what the Qualcomm European president presented:

the company’s European president, Andrew Gilbert, showed how you would soon be able to point your phone’s camera at a person, then instantly bring up their Facebook and Twitter profiles, along with recent updates and all the details said victim (Karmen, in the above picture) has chosen to make public about themselves.

 Gilbert admitted that the possibility raised serious privacy issues – you could theoretically pull up a person’s home address through automatic whois requests – but ethics aside, it’s an interesting next step for augmented reality apps, which layer data over the surroundings and have started to take off in a big way over the last year. As phones get faster and more powerful, what’s to stop people integrating this form of search?

Gilbert described a future where the “handheld device becomes the remote control of your life”. If you ask us, we’ve already reached that stage – would you take it to the next level like this?

 

Personally, I wouldn’t mind facial recognition tied to my social services as long as I controlled who had access to my face data.  Things get tricky when you have access to search anyone in your viewing distance.  Either way, facial recognition is sure to be part of the future of social search.

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Surveillance Society – A Lesson for the OGI

On the heels of my post yesterday about the Outernet Guidance Initiative and the perils of data harvesting, I find this bit of flotsam foaming out of the datasphere.  Don’t be fooled by the lack of presentation fireworks or the bleary-eyed speaker reading his lines early in the morning without his cup of joe. 

The MobilHD system from Sensor Cast carpet-bombs an area with cameras for complete coverage.  The data is downloaded into a server that indexes the images into a dizzying array of statistics.  If you’re on the paranoid side of the data gathering scale, then this little piece of hardware will certainly set your sphincter to pucker. 

The specs on the system in question are gathering data in a generalized manner without attaching your personal ID, but with facial recognition software available it wouldn’t be hard to marry the two and create a gold mine of data harvesting. 

How much longer until we’re signing digital waiver forms when we enter the mall?  And Cory Doctorow’s gait-recognition hi-jinx for his protag from the book Little Brother don’t sound too far off.  

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Augmented Reality in Photo Booth

The interesting part of the video comes after the three minute mark.  It appears the software uses face tracking to achieve the special effects and it looks rather robust.  The kitty mask makes me wonder if furries are using these programs already in their video chats. 

And how long will it be until live feeds of celebrities are touched up with augmented reality to make them appear thinner?  Or fatter if they’re selling their gawker-snuff to TMZ?

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